Geometric Distributions and The Birthday Paradox S01E16
Geometric probabilities, and probabilities in general, allow us to guess how long we'll have to wait for something to happen. Today, we'll discuss how they can be used to figure out how many Bertie Bott's Every Flavour Beans you could eat before getting the dreaded vomit flavored bean, and how they can help us make decisions when there is a little uncertainty - like getting a Pikachu in a pack of Pokémon Cards! We'll finish off this unit on probability by taking a closer look at the Birthday Paradox (or birthday problem) which asks the question: how many people do you think need to be in a room for there to likely be a shared birthday? (It's likely much fewer than you would expect!)
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1
What Is Statistics
2
Mathematical Thinking
3
Mean, Median, and Mode: Measures of Central Tendency
4
Measures of Spread
5
Charts Are Like Pasta - Data Visualization Part 1
6
Plots, Outliers, and Justin Timberlake: Data Visualization Part 2
7
The Shape of Data: Distributions
8
Correlation Doesn’t Equal Causation
9
Controlled Experiments
10
Sampling Methods and Bias with Surveys
11
Science Journalism
12
Henrietta Lacks, the Tuskegee Experiment, and Ethical Data Collection
13
Probability Part 1: Rules and Patterns
14
Probability Part 2: Updating Your Beliefs with Bayes
15
The Binomial Distribution
16
Geometric Distributions and The Birthday Paradox
17
Randomness
18
Z-Scores and Percentiles
19
The Normal Distribution
20
Confidence Intervals
21
How P-Values Help Us Test Hypotheses
22
P-Value Problems
23
Playing with Power: P-Values Pt 3
24
You Know I’m All About that Bayes
25
Bayes in Science and Everyday Life
26
Test Statistics
27
T-Tests: A Matched Pair Made in Heaven
28
Degrees of Freedom and Effect Sizes
29
Chi-Square Tests
30
P-Hacking
31
The Replication Crisis
32
Regression
33
ANOVA
34
ANOVA Part 2: Dealing with Intersectional Groups
35
Fitting Models Is like Tetris
36
Supervised Machine Learning
37
Unsupervised Machine Learning
38
Intro to Big Data
39
Big Data Problems
40
Statistics in the Courts
41
Neural Networks
42
War
43
When Predictions Fail
44
When Predictions Succeed
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